Market structure of the lithium battery industry: Emerging scenarios open up incremental space

2025-12-10 16:44:21


In the power sector: Plug-in hybrid and high-end models coexist: China's sales of new energy vehicles are expected to reach 17 million units by 2025, with the proportion of plug-in hybrid models exceeding 45%, driving the demand for dedicated batteries such as Xiaoyao Super Hybrid Battery. Pure electric vehicle models are upgrading towards high-end, and the penetration rate of 800V high-voltage platform batteries will exceed 25% by the end of this year.

In energy storage and special equipment: There will be an explosion in global demand for energy storage installations in 2030, with lithium iron phosphate batteries dominating due to their low-cost advantage; custom battery demands are generated in scenarios such as humanoid robots and low-altitude aircraft, and the related market size is expected to exceed 100 billion yuan by 2030.

International competition intensifies: Chinese lithium battery enterprises face trade barriers in the European and American markets, but with technological cost-performance advantages, their global market share is expected to maintain above 65% by 2025. Building factories overseas has become a trend. LG, Panasonic, and other enterprises are accelerating their layout in North America and establishing joint ventures with local automakers.

Carbon footprint management becomes a compulsory course: The EU Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) forces enterprises to establish a full life cycle carbon management system. From 2026, exporters of batteries will be required to provide carbon footprint reports.

Technological breakthroughs in recycling: Combining wet metallurgy with direct repair technology has increased the recovery rate of lithium, cobalt, and nickel to over 95%.